Sport Picks

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Caracas vs Barquisimeto

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gonzalez S.
68' Event
Reinoso L.
76' Event
Maestre Nino L. A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caracas
20%
Draws
47%
Barquisimeto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barquisimeto come out ahead of Caracas on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Barquisimeto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caracas Clean Sheet 20%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Barquisimeto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Barquisimeto vs Caracas
0:5
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Barquisimeto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reinoso L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 36 / 100
Barquisimeto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Barquisimeto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barquisimeto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caracas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Barquisimeto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Caracas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Barquisimeto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

Barquisimeto

(Away)
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
12 Sept
Barquisimeto
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Atletico Barinas 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Atletico El Vigia 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
4 Real Frontera 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Yaracuyanos 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Aragua 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Barquisimeto 4 1 0 3 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Urena 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
3 Lara 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Trujillanos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Mineros 4 2 1 1 12:2 7
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
4 Bolivar 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams