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Caracas vs Monagas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Larotonda C.
39' Event
Rodriguez R.
Assist: De La Hoz K.
42'
De Santis J.

AI Match Summary

Monagas in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monagas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caracas
20%
Draws
47%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Monagas have won more games recently than Caracas.
  • Caracas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caracas Clean Sheet 20%
Monagas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Monagas
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 42 / 100
Monagas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Monagas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caracas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Monagas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
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Monagas

(Away)
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)