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Caracas vs Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Caracas Logo

Caracas

0 - 3
FT
Santa Fe Logo

Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Vegas C. In: Villarreal A.
Out: Vegas C.
56' Event
Bustos N.
Assist: Obrian J.
60'
Sub
Bustos N. In: Zapata A.
Out: Bustos N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caracas
20%
Draws
47%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Fe have won more games recently than Caracas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Santa Fe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Fe, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Santa Fe have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Caracas Clean Sheet 23%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Santa Fe
0:3
Jul 24, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs Caracas
2:0
Sep 24, 2010 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Santa Fe
0:0
Sep 17, 2010 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs Caracas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodallega H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 33 / 100
Santa Fe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Santa Fe let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Caracas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Santa Fe
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -