Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Vegas C. In: Villarreal A.
Out: Vegas C.
56'
56'
Bustos N.
Assist: Obrian J.
60'
60'
Sub
Bustos N. In: Zapata A.
Out: Bustos N.
AI Match Summary
Santa Fe in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Fe have won more games recently than Caracas.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Santa Fe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Fe, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Santa Fe have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Caracas Clean Sheet 26%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caracas | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Santa Fe
0:3
Jul 24, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs Caracas
2:0
Sep 24, 2010 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Santa Fe
0:0
Sep 17, 2010 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs Caracas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caracas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Bustos N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodallega H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caracas 38 / 100
Santa Fe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caracas Santa Fe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caracas scored in 78% of their last 23 games.
Santa Fe let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Caracas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caracas VS Santa Fe
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caracas
(Home) 24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Caracas
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1 Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3 Botafogo RJ
22 May
Racing Club
2 : 2 Caracas
05 May
Independiente
2 : 3 Caracas
Page 1 of 5
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1 Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3 Botafogo RJ
29 Apr
Caracas
1 : 1 Racing Club
25 Apr
Caracas
2 : 1 Rayo Zuliano
15 Apr
Caracas
1 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
Santa Fe
(Away) 26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1 Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Caracas
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1 Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0 Santa Fe
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1 Platense
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1 Santa Fe
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1 Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0 Santa Fe
10 May
America De Cali
1 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Apr
Platense
2 : 1 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors2
O Higgins1
TBD-
Recoleta-
Bolivar4
Gremio2
TBD-
Sao Paulo-
Santa Fe5
Caracas0
TBD-
River Plate-
Ind. Medellin2
Vasco3
TBD-
Olimpia Asuncion-
Sporting Cristal0
Bragantino1
TBD-
Atletico-MG-
Universidad Central3
Santos8
TBD-
Macara-
Club Nacional2
Tigre4
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Lanus2
Cienciano4
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors-
Recoleta-
Bolivar-
Sao Paulo-
Santa Fe-
River Plate-
Vasco-
Olimpia Asuncion-
Bragantino-
Atletico-MG-
Santos-
Macara-
Tigre-
Montevideo City-
Cienciano-
Botafogo RJ-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
