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Caracas vs Yaracuyanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gonzalez S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Caracas
15%
Draws
48%
Yaracuyanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yaracuyanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Yaracuyanos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Yaracuyanos taking it.
  • Yaracuyanos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Caracas Clean Sheet 17%
Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Yaracuyanos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Yaracuyanos
1:0
Aug 18, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
2:3
Sep 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Yaracuyanos
3:1
Mar 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
3:3
May 17, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 10 / 100
Yaracuyanos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Yaracuyanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yaracuyanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Yaracuyanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Caracas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Yaracuyanos
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

Yaracuyanos

(Away)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
04 Oct
Zamora 2
1 : 4
Yaracuyanos
30 Sept
Yaracuyanos
3 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello B
26 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 3
Yaracuyanos
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams