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Caracas vs Zamora Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caracas host Zamora in the Liga FUTVE. This one's hard to separate. Zamora have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Caracas have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Caracas slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.25, favoring Caracas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Caracas
20%
Draws
29%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caracas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caracas lately — more wins on the board than Zamora.
  • Caracas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caracas Clean Sheet 19%
Zamora Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Zamora
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Caracas
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Zamora
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Caracas
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Zamora
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Caracas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 49 / 100
Zamora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Zamora conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Caracas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Zamora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 7

Zamora

(Away)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)