Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021

Caramba

11 - 0

Valka

Our Tip

Match Events

Pelcis D.

17'

Deruzinskis M.

21'

Matsunaga Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 11-0, with Caramba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Caramba

15%

Draws

Valka

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Caramba come out ahead of Valka on wins alone.
85% — that's where the model lands on Caramba taking it.
Caramba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Caramba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Caramba Clean Sheet 20%

Valka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caramba	Valka
Matches Played	16	17
Wins	11	5
Draws	0	0
Losses	5	12
Goals Scored	3.56	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.5	4.53
Expected Goals (xG)	3.94	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2021 Latvian Cup

Caramba vs Valka

11:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caramba Compare

Top Goalscorer Geiko R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nagaoka G.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.03

Avg xA / game 1.97

Valka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caramba 85 / 100

Valka 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caramba Valka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caramba scored in 100% of their last 16 outings.

Defensive concern: Valka conceded in 82% of 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Difficult form: Valka registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caramba VS Valka

2.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 5.25

50% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Caramba

(Home)

31 Jul

FK Auda Riga

3 : 1

Caramba

17 Jul

Caramba

11 : 0

Valka

04 Jul

Caramba

2 : 0

FK Alberts

04 Aug

Caramba

1 : 2

FK Karosta

13 Jul

Alberts JDFS

0 : 1

Caramba

Page 1 of 4

Valka

(Away)

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

17 May

Lielupe

5 : 1

Valka

28 May

Valka

0 : 7

Marupe

21 May

Valka

0 : 2

Gulbenes

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Kadaga/Ostas -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

RTU 1

JFC Viola 2

TBD -

Riga United -

Sigulda -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Speks -

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe -

TBD -

Kengaroos -

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite 3

Dobele Allegro 0

TBD -

Skanste -

TBD -

Gauja -

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Talsi -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Valka -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Aliance -

TBD -

Bebri -

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

TBD -

Livani -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

TBD -

Latgols / Ludza -

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Karosta -

1/64-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Preilu BJSS 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

JFC Viola 5

Riga United 0

Sigulda 4

DSVK Traktors 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine 0

Speks 2

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe 4

Kengaroos 5

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite -

TBD -

Skanste 5

Gauja 1

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 5

Talsi 3

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba 2

FK Alberts 0

Lielupe 1

Valka 3

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

FK Limbazi 10

Aliance 4

Bebri 2

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele 1

Livani 5

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

Latgols / Ludza 3

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas 0

FK Karosta 1

1/32-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 0

FK Smiltene 6

JFC Viola 5

Sigulda 2

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems 2

Speks 4

Jekabpils SC 0

Grobina 2

Kengaroos 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Saldus SS/Leevon 2

Fk Jurnieks Riga 0

Alberts JDFS 1

SK Babite 0

Skanste 4

Tente 0

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Caramba 11

Valka 0

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 4

Aliance 0

Tukums 2000 4

Livani 0

Salaspils FK 0

Rezekne 7

Super Nova 6

Sports United/Cesis 0

FK Varaklani 0

Latgols / Ludza 5

Albatroz 5

FK Karosta 1

1/16-finals

FK Smiltene 2

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 4

Grobina 2

Dinamo Riga 9

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Skanste 2

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga 3

Caramba 1

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 0

Tukums 2000 2

Rezekne 3

Super Nova 1

Latgols / Ludza 0

Albatroz 1

1/8-finals

FK Smiltene 0

FK Liepaja 3

Spartaks Jurmala 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Skanste 0

RFS 2

FK Metta 1

FK Auda Riga 3

Riga FC 3

Tukums 2000 1

Rezekne 0

Albatroz 3

Quarter-finals

FK Liepaja 1

BFC Daugavpils 0

Valmiera 5

Dinamo Riga 0

RFS 4

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 3

Albatroz 0

Semi-finals

FK Liepaja 2

Valmiera 0

RFS 3

Riga FC 1

Final

FK Liepaja 0

RFS 1

Caramba vs Valka

Latvia

Caramba

Valka

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Caramba Compare

Valka Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Caramba

Valka

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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