Sport Picks
Caravaca vs Ciudad Cieza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 
Match Events
43'
43'
Fimbres V.
65'
65'
Luna E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad Cieza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ciudad Cieza lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 12%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaca | Ciudad Cieza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Ciudad Cieza
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Caravaca
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Ciudad Cieza
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Caravaca
5:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Caravaca
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Fimbres V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Ciudad Cieza Compare
Top Goalscorer Luna E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaca 30 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaca Ciudad Cieza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Caravaca scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Caravaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Ciudad Cieza conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Caravaca VS Ciudad Cieza
1.2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.75
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaca
(Home) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
04 Apr
Caravaca
3 : 0 Minerva
22 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 1 Aguilas FC B
15 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad Cieza
(Away) 04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4 Ciudad Cieza
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1 Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4 Ciudad Cieza
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
