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Caravaca vs EF Alhama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Caravaca in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caravaca
20%
Draws
30%
EF Alhama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • EF Alhama average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Caravaca's 1.05.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Caravaca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca EF Alhama
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 18 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.05 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs EF Alhama
0:4
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Caravaca
1:1
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs EF Alhama
2:1
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Caravaca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 76 / 100
EF Alhama 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca EF Alhama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EF Alhama conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Caravaca scored in 64% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Caravaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 8

EF Alhama

(Away)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Futbol Club Jumilla 34 22 6 6 60:29 72
2 Real Murcia B 34 19 12 3 56:20 69
3 Huercal-Overa CF 34 21 5 8 58:32 68
4 Aguilas FC 34 18 10 6 66:30 64
5 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 3 12 47:32 60
6 Yeclano 34 16 8 10 56:43 56
7 Deportiva Minera 34 13 11 10 43:42 50
8 La Union CF 34 14 5 15 44:46 47
9 Pinatar 34 12 9 13 42:44 45
10 Plus Ultra 34 12 7 15 50:59 43
11 Muleno CF 34 10 9 15 43:41 39
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 6 17 44:51 39
13 Caravaca 34 10 8 16 37:48 38
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 34 8 14 12 48:61 38
15 EF Alhama 34 8 11 15 39:56 35
16 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 9 8 17 36:58 35
17 Molina 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
18 Ciudad Cieza 34 4 5 25 23:77 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)