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Caravaggio vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Vranic A.
80' Event
Vranic A.

AI Match Summary

Calvi Noale in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Caravaggio
35%
Draws
40%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi Noale have won more games recently than Caravaggio.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Calvi Noale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Calvi Noale
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Caravaggio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Vranic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 32 / 100
Calvi Noale 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caravaggio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Calvi Noale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Caravaggio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Calvi Noale
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
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Calvi Noale

(Away)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)