Sport Picks
Caravaggio vs Castellana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Caravaggio in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Castellana haven't matched Caravaggio's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Castellana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaggio | Castellana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Caravaggio
0:0
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Castellana
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Castellana
1:2
Nov 3, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Caravaggio
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaggio 36 / 100
Castellana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaggio Castellana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio scored in 66% of their last 41 games.
Castellana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caravaggio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaggio
(Home) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 9
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
06 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
23 Mar
Caravaggio
1 : 2 Treviso
Page 1 of 4
Castellana
(Away) 10 May
Castellana
1 : 2 Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0 Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2 FC Castiglione
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0 Castellana
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Castellana
02 Apr
Seregno Calcio
1 : 4 Castellana
25 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Castellana
08 Mar
Lecco
2 : 1 Castellana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
