Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 game between Caravaggio and Grumellese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caravaggio carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaggio | Grumellese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio scored in 77% of their last 39 games.
Grumellese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaggio
(Home)Grumellese
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pro Patria | 36 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 58:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Rezzato | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 84:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 67:44 | 70 |
| 4 | Pergolettese | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 67 |
| 5 | Darfo Boario | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 51:30 | 62 |
| 6 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 57:46 | 58 |
| 7 | Lecco | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 46:35 | 58 |
| 8 | Crema | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 43:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Bustese Milano City | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:43 | 47 |
| 10 | Caravaggio | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:52 | 47 |
| 11 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Levico Terme | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 45:56 | 44 |
| 13 | Trento | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 41:51 | 43 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37:51 | 42 |
| 16 | Ciserano | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 42:58 | 36 |
| 17 | Grumellese | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:55 | 34 |
| 18 | USD Dro | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 33:62 | 31 |
| 19 | Calcio Romanese | 36 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 30:78 | 11 |
