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Caravaggio vs Inveruno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Caravaggio Logo

Caravaggio

Sun, Mar 15, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Inveruno Logo

Inveruno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio host Inveruno in the Serie D - Group B 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Caravaggio have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Inveruno's 0.95 scored and 2.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Inveruno slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.19) point toward Caravaggio. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caravaggio
30%
Draws
31%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caravaggio lately — more wins on the board than Inveruno.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Inveruno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Inveruno
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.16 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Inveruno
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Caravaggio
0:2
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Caravaggio
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Inveruno
1:3
Jan 17, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Inveruno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 28 / 100
Inveruno 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inveruno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 19 matches.

Caravaggio found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
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Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
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