Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Caravaggio

4 - 1

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Rodrigo Milanez

34'

Cruz R.

53'

Evaristo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Caravaggio and Nacao finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Caravaggio

Draws

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Caravaggio carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Caravaggio taking it.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caravaggio	Nacao
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	13	4
Draws	5	13
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	2.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Caravaggio

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs Nacao

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Aug 5, 2023 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Caravaggio

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jul 30, 2023 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs Nacao

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jul 16, 2023 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs Nacao

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Milanez

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cruz R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Modesto

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 95 / 100

Nacao 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caravaggio Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Caravaggio scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Caravaggio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nacao let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Nacao

2.75 Goals Scored 0.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1