Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Torri A.
45'
45'
Ferrario C.
56'
56'
Beretta R.
AI Match Summary
Villa Valle in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Caravaggio haven't matched Villa Valle's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Villa Valle have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaggio | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Villa Valle
1:3
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Villa Valle vs Caravaggio
3:2
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Villa Valle
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caravaggio
1:0
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caravaggio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caravaggio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Torri A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrario C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaggio 32 / 100
Villa Valle 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaggio Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Valle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Caravaggio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Caravaggio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Villa Valle
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaggio
(Home) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
06 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
23 Mar
Caravaggio
1 : 2 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
21 Mar
Chievo
3 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
