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Cardassar vs Alcudia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nebot T.
21' Event
Roig Galmes J.
23' Event
Roig Galmes J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Cardassar and Alcudia finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cardassar
15%
Draws
32%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Cardassar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 16%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Alcudia
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Alcudia
6:2
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Alcudia
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Cardassar
1:3
Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Cardassar
2:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Alcudia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roig Galmes J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrany J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 84 / 100
Alcudia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cardassar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Alcudia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Cardassar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Alcudia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
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Alcudia

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)