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Cardassar vs Alcudia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
El Mkadmi A.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cardassar
20%
Draws
33%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Cardassar.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 15%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Alcudia
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Alcudia
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Cardassar
1:3
Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Cardassar
2:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Alcudia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mkadmi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 31 / 100
Alcudia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Alcudia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cardassar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Alcudia
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Alcudia

(Away)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)