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Cardassar vs Binissalem

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Pinto A.
44' Event
Vila P.
45' Event
Brunet Umbert J.

AI Match Summary

Binissalem in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cardassar
20%
Draws
23%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardassar lately — more wins on the board than Binissalem.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cardassar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Binissalem
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Binissalem
2:4
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:1
May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Binissalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunet Umbert J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Binissalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vila P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 86 / 100
Binissalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cardassar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Binissalem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Binissalem
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Binissalem

(Away)
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)