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Cardassar vs Constancia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Ramis T.
90' Event
Gonzalez G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Constancia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cardassar
30%
Draws
37%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cardassar haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Constancia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Constancia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Cardassar
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Constancia
2:0
Jan 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Cardassar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 14 / 100
Constancia 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cardassar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Constancia conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cardassar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Constancia
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Cardassar
12 Apr
Cardassar
0 : 2
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)