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Cardassar vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Blanco L.
33' Event
Lopez D.
58' Event
Homar P. D.

AI Match Summary

Santanyi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cardassar
35%
Draws
24%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardassar lately — more wins on the board than Santanyi.
  • Win probability leans Cardassar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santanyi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Santanyi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Santanyi
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Santanyi
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Cardassar
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roig Galmes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Homar P. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 68 / 100
Santanyi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santanyi conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Cardassar found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Cardassar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Santanyi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6

Santanyi

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)