Sport Picks
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Cawley S.
40'
40'
Davies J.
49'
49'
Parsons K.
AI Match Summary
Cardiff Draconians in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff Draconians.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Draconians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cardiff Draconians lately — more wins on the board than Baglan Dragons.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Cardiff Draconians have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 16%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Top Goalscorer Cawley S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Baglan Dragons Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Draconians 31 / 100
Baglan Dragons 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Draconians Baglan Dragons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff Draconians found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Baglan Dragons let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Cardiff Draconians has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Draconians VS Baglan Dragons
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Draconians
(Home) 26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 3
Baglan Dragons
(Away) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
03 Apr
Cambrian United
2 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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