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Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Draconians host Llanelli in the Cymru South. Cardiff Draconians go into this one as the clear favorite. Llanelli have shipped 2.59 goals a game lately, while Cardiff Draconians have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Cardiff Draconians. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Cardiff Draconians
35%
Draws
9%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff Draconians have won more games recently than Llanelli.
  • Cardiff Draconians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 16%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Draconians Llanelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.86 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Draconians 84 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Draconians Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Cardiff Draconians scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Cardiff Draconians went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Llanelli registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Draconians VS Llanelli
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Draconians

(Home)
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1
Afan Lido
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Pontypridd United
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4
Cardiff Draconians
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Llanelli

(Away)
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4
Newport City
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carmarthen Town 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Pontypridd United 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
3 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Pure Swansea 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Afan Lido 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
6 Aberystwyth 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
7 Pontardawe 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
8 Newport City 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
9 Treowen 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Baglan Dragons 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Caerau Ely 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Cardiff Draconians 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Llanelli 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
15 Caerphilly 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Llantwit Major 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)