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Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Indjai C.
30'
Indjai C.
36' Event
Salter C.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Draconians in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff Draconians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cardiff Draconians
15%
Draws
0%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff Draconians have won more games recently than Llanelli.
  • Cardiff Draconians are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Draconians Llanelli
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.87 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Draconians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gullick L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Indjai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Llanelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crisan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Draconians 76 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Draconians Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Draconians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Draconians's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Llanelli let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Llanelli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Draconians VS Llanelli
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Draconians

(Home)
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 7

Llanelli

(Away)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
10 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
11 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
12 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
14 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)