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Cardiff U18 vs Bristol City U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ola D.
44' Event
Skinner L.
53' Event
Hogg H.

AI Match Summary

Bristol City U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cardiff U18
15%
Draws
64%
Bristol City U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bristol City U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bristol City U18 have won more games recently than Cardiff U18.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bristol City U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bristol City U18, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cardiff U18 Clean Sheet 11%
Bristol City U18 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U18 Bristol City U18
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Cardiff U18 vs Bristol City U18
1:2
Jan 21, 2012 Premier League U18
Cardiff U18 vs Bristol City U18
0:0
Nov 19, 2011 Premier League U18
Bristol City U18 vs Cardiff U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bristol City U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skinner L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hogg H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U18 30 / 100
Bristol City U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U18 Bristol City U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bristol City U18 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Cardiff U18 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cardiff U18 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U18 VS Bristol City U18
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U18

(Home)
19 Jul
Cardiff U18
2 : 4
Shrewsbury U18
12 Jul
Cardiff U18
7 : 2
Exeter U18
17 Jan
Cardiff U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
10 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 1
Cardiff U18
31 Mar
West Brom U18
2 : 1
Cardiff U18
Page 1 of 6

Bristol City U18

(Away)
04 Feb
Aston Villa U18
3 : 2
Bristol City U18
17 Jan
Cardiff U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
02 Apr
Manchester City U18
1 : 0
Bristol City U18
07 Mar
Bristol City U18
1 : 0
Swindon U18
07 Feb
Bristol City U18
3 : 0
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Aston Villa U18 4
Cardiff U18 1
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Wolves U18 1
Plymouth U18 3
Lincoln City U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Fulham U18 4
Arsenal U18 4
QPR U18 3
Manchester United U18 5
Preston U18 2
Chelsea U18 7
Merstham U18 1
Watford U18 4
Crewe U18 1
Grimsby U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Southampton U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Derby U18 3
Bournemouth U18 1
Norwich U18 3
Stoke City U18 0
West Brom U18 2
AFC Fylde U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Millwall U18 1
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 1
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 5
Chelsea U18 1
Watford U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Southampton U18 4
Derby U18 1
Norwich U18 2
West Brom U18 4
Leeds U18 1
Manchester City U18 6
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Plymouth U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 3
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
West Brom U18 0
Manchester City U18 6
Semi-finals
Aston Villa U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Watford U18 0
Manchester City U18 1
Final
Aston Villa U18 3
Manchester City U18 1