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Cardiff U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sawkins N.
25' Event
Debono A.
66' Event
O'Brien C.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2025/2026 game between Cardiff U21 and Fleetwood Town U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cardiff U21
20%
Draws
36%
Fleetwood Town U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff U21 come out ahead of Fleetwood Town U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cardiff U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Fleetwood Town U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Fleetwood Town U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
2:1
Aug 26, 2024 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
2:0
Aug 15, 2023 Professional Development League
Fleetwood Town U21 vs Cardiff U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Debono A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Brien C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Fleetwood Town U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawkins N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 85 / 100
Fleetwood Town U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Fleetwood Town U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cardiff U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cardiff U21's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Fleetwood Town U21
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0
Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6

Fleetwood Town U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Fleetwood Town U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
29 Sept
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Fleetwood Town U21
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
13 Sept
QPR U21
4 : 1
Fleetwood Town U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 28 18 4 6 67:34 58
2 Sheffield Utd U21 28 15 7 6 58:39 52
3 Bournemouth U21 28 16 2 10 67:47 50
4 Swansea U21 28 14 6 8 69:50 48
5 Peterborough U21 28 14 6 8 66:52 48
6 Huddersfield U21 28 14 6 8 59:50 48
7 Watford U21 28 12 9 7 69:53 45
8 Charlton U21 28 11 7 10 58:49 40
9 Cardiff U21 28 11 7 10 48:39 40
10 Wigan U21 28 11 5 12 67:58 38
11 Hull City U21 28 10 7 11 49:53 37
12 Barnsley U21 28 10 7 11 51:58 37
13 Millwall U21 28 11 3 14 48:52 36
14 Bristol City U21 28 10 5 13 45:54 35
15 Coventry U21 28 11 2 15 46:63 35
16 QPR U21 28 8 9 11 51:61 33
17 Sheffield Wed U21 28 8 6 14 49:63 30
18 Colchester U21 28 6 6 16 40:77 24
19 Fleetwood Town U21 28 5 8 15 36:63 23
20 Crewe U21 28 5 8 15 41:69 23
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)