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Cardiff U21 vs Manchester City U21

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff U21 host Manchester City U21 in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Cardiff U21 at 1.62 goals for, 1.48 against; Manchester City U21 at 2.86 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Cardiff U21 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.04) back Manchester City U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cardiff U21
20%
Draws
28%
Manchester City U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester City U21 have won more games recently than Cardiff U21.
  • Cardiff U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Manchester City U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.62 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Cardiff U21 vs Manchester City U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 83 / 100
Manchester City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Manchester City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cardiff U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Cardiff U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Manchester City U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Manchester City U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Manchester City U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0
Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5
Cardiff U21
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Manchester City U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2
Manchester City U21
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3
Manchester City U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Manchester City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
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