Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Barnsley U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Leahy J.
87' Event
Crole J.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Cardiff U23 and Barnsley U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cardiff U23
20%
Draws
29%
Barnsley U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff U23 come out ahead of Barnsley U23 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Barnsley U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Barnsley U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Barnsley U23
2:0
May 3, 2021 Professional Development League
Barnsley U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:1
Aug 20, 2019 Professional Development League
Barnsley U23 vs Cardiff U23
3:1
Aug 20, 2018 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Barnsley U23
2:0
Apr 16, 2018 Professional Development League
Barnsley U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leahy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crole J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Barnsley U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 32 / 100
Barnsley U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Barnsley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnsley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Barnsley U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Barnsley U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
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Barnsley U23

(Away)
03 May
Watford U23
2 : 1
Barnsley U23
25 Apr
Barnsley U23
1 : 1
Bristol City U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
18 Mar
Barnsley U23
3 : 1
Peterborough U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)