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Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zimba C.
23' Event
Bagan J.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Cardiff U23 and Colchester U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cardiff U23
20%
Draws
38%
Colchester U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Colchester U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:1
Nov 30, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
2:0
Feb 9, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
4:1
Nov 28, 2020 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:0
Jan 13, 2020 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimba C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Colchester U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 41 / 100
Colchester U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Colchester U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colchester U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Cardiff U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Colchester U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U2323153547:2348
2Coventry U2323134657:3943
3Hull City U2323124744:4140
4Wigan U2323741231:3925
5Crewe U2323721427:5023
6Peterborough U2323571136:4122
7Barnsley U2323571122:4222
8Sheffield Wed U2323481121:3220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U2324163558:2751
2Bristol City U2324155460:3150
3Cardiff U2324152744:3047
4Charlton U2324106855:4636
5Millwall U2324931234:4530
6Colchester U2324851135:4429
7Watford U2324671128:4325
8Swansea U2324591034:4124
9QPR U2324731434:5324