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Cardiff vs Midtjylland

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Byskov V.
34' Event
Gluda Dju F.
39' Event
Bak V.

AI Match Summary

Midtjylland in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midtjylland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cardiff
15%
Draws
42%
Midtjylland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff average 3.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Midtjylland's 2.38.
  • Model gives Cardiff a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Midtjylland
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 3.17 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Cardiff vs Midtjylland
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Compare

Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

Midtjylland Compare

Top Goalscorer Etim F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Byskov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 56 / 100
Midtjylland 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Midtjylland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Midtjylland conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Cardiff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS Midtjylland
3.17 Goals Scored 2.38
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 63%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1
AS Roma
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
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Midtjylland

(Away)
06 Aug
Bohemians
0 : 2
Midtjylland
02 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 1
Horsens
30 Jul
Midtjylland
0 : 2
Besiktas
26 Jul
Sonderjyske
2 : 3
Midtjylland
23 Jul
Besiktas
1 : 0
Midtjylland
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