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Cardiff vs Midtjylland

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Byskov V.
34' Event
Gluda Dju F.
39' Event
Bak V.

AI Match Summary

Midtjylland in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midtjylland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cardiff
30%
Draws
51%
Midtjylland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Midtjylland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Midtjylland have won more games recently than Cardiff.
  • Model gives Midtjylland a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 11%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Midtjylland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.13 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Cardiff vs Midtjylland
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Midtjylland Compare

Top Goalscorer Etim F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Byskov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 10 / 100
Midtjylland 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Midtjylland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midtjylland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Midtjylland conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Cardiff went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS Midtjylland
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
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Midtjylland

(Away)
19 Sept
Odense
1 : 1
Midtjylland
14 Sept
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Brondby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
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