Sport Picks
Cardiff vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff 
Match Events
23'
23'
Johnson B.
Assist: Bozenik R.
27'
27'
Wilmot B.
45'
45'
Ng P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Cardiff have won more games recently than Stoke City.
- Model gives Stoke City a 61% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 14%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs Stoke City
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Championship
Cardiff vs Stoke City
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 FA Cup
Stoke City vs Cardiff
3:4
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
Stoke City vs Cardiff
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs Stoke City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Colwill J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff 19 / 100
Stoke City 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Stoke City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stoke City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Stoke City conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Cardiff found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Cardiff stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff VS Stoke City
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 2 Norwich
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1 Wrexham
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
29 Aug
Wolves
4 : 1 Stoke City
22 Aug
Southampton
3 : 1 Stoke City
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
