Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardoso Moreira vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira Logo

Cardoso Moreira

2 - 1
FT
Buzios Logo

Buzios

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Kayke P.
72' Event
Silva R.
77'
Kauan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cardoso Moreira
15%
Draws
0%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Buzios haven't matched Cardoso Moreira's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cardoso Moreira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cardoso Moreira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardoso Moreira, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cardoso Moreira here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 68%
Buzios Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Buzios
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Carioca B2
Buzios vs Cardoso Moreira
0:3
Jul 26, 2026 Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira vs Buzios
2:1
Jun 8, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Cardoso Moreira
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayke P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 95 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardoso Moreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardoso Moreira found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Buzios conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Buzios
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira 1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 0
Tigres Brasil 2
Campos AA 3
Rio Barra 1
Buzios 2
Barra Mansa 0
Uni Souza 0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira 6
Campos AA 2
Buzios 5
Barra Mansa 0
Final
Cardoso Moreira 2
Buzios 1