Sport Picks

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Cardoso Moreira vs Campos AA

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Maicon
18' Event
Riquelmy
82' Event
Kayke P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cardoso Moreira
30%
Draws
29%
Campos AA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardoso Moreira come out ahead of Campos AA on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cardoso Moreira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardoso Moreira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 68%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Campos AA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Carioca C
Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira vs Campos AA
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayke P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maicon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Campos AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 41 / 100
Campos AA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Campos AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardoso Moreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cardoso Moreira scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Campos AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cardoso Moreira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Campos AA
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

Campos AA

(Away)
05 Oct
Campos AA
3 : 1
Buzios
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira 1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 0
Tigres Brasil 2
Campos AA 3
Rio Barra 1
Buzios 2
Barra Mansa 0
Uni Souza 0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira 6
Campos AA 2
Buzios 5
Barra Mansa 0
Final
Cardoso Moreira 2
Buzios 1