Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardoso Moreira vs Paraty - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardoso Moreira host Paraty in the Carioca B2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cardoso Moreira at 1.45 goals for, 0.93 against; Paraty at 1.47 for, 1.53 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 0.44, favoring Cardoso Moreira. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cardoso Moreira
15%
Draws
0%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira have won more games recently than Paraty.
  • Cardoso Moreira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 20%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Paraty
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 85 / 100
Paraty 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardoso Moreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardoso Moreira found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Paraty conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cardoso Moreira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Paraty
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

Paraty

(Away)
05 Oct
Paraty
0 : 4
FC Rio de Janeiro
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)