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Cardoso Moreira vs Serra Macaense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
31' Event
39' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Cardoso Moreira and Serra Macaense finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Macaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cardoso Moreira
15%
Draws
54%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardoso Moreira come out ahead of Serra Macaense on wins alone.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 22%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Serra Macaense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Carioca B2
Cardoso Moreira vs Serra Macaense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 32 / 100
Serra Macaense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Serra Macaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Macaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cardoso Moreira's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Serra Macaense conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cardoso Moreira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Serra Macaense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

Serra Macaense

(Away)
05 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)