Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardoso Moreira vs Uniao Central

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Marcos Aranha

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C game between Cardoso Moreira and Uniao Central finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardoso Moreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cardoso Moreira
11%
Draws
9%
Uniao Central
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Central come out ahead of Cardoso Moreira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cardoso Moreira a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Uniao Central
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira vs Uniao Central
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Aranha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Uniao Central Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 76 / 100
Uniao Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Uniao Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Cardoso Moreira stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cardoso Moreira scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

Uniao Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Uniao Central
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
12 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
0 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
06 Jul
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 1
Cardoso Moreira
03 Jul
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
28 Jun
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Independente RJ
08 Jun
Buzios
0 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
Page 1 of 5

Uniao Central

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)