Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cariari Pococi vs Aserri

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Montero B.
46' Event
French R.
61' Event
Baltodano F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Cariari Pococi and Aserri finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cariari Pococi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cariari Pococi
35%
Draws
26%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cariari Pococi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cariari Pococi taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 18%
Aserri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi Aserri
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
2:2
Mar 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader French R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aserri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 85 / 100
Aserri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Aserri let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cariari Pococi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariari Pococi VS Aserri
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariari Pococi

(Home)
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
05 Apr
Cariari Pococi
0 : 1
FC Moravia
29 Mar
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
26 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

Aserri

(Away)
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0
Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
27 Mar
Santa Ana
3 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter San Carlos 14 9 3 2 22:12 30
2 ADR Jicaral 14 7 5 2 23:11 26
3 Quepos FC 14 5 5 4 18:17 20
4 Cofutpa 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
5 AD Sarchi 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Dep. Upala 14 4 4 6 22:23 16
7 Santa Cruz 14 3 4 7 10:20 13
8 Grecia 14 3 2 9 22:31 11
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 9 4 1 31:18 31
2 FC Moravia 14 7 4 3 25:18 25
3 Cariari Pococi 14 4 6 4 25:18 18
4 Carmelita 14 4 6 4 14:14 18
5 Santa Ana 14 4 6 4 16:17 18
6 CS Uruguay 14 3 5 6 15:24 14
7 Pitbulls 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
8 Aserri 14 3 3 8 11:23 12
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)