Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Posada M.
46'
46'
French R.
50'
50'
Solera A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Cariari Pococi in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cariari Pococi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Cariari Pococi have won more games recently than Carmelita.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Carmelita taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 20%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cariari Pococi | Carmelita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
1:1
Mar 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cariari Pococi Compare
Top Goalscorer French R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Carmelita Compare
Top Goalscorer Posada M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cariari Pococi 24 / 100
Carmelita 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cariari Pococi Carmelita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cariari Pococi scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Carmelita conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Cariari Pococi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cariari Pococi VS Carmelita
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cariari Pococi
(Home) 24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1 Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0 Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3 Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1 Pitbulls
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3 Guadalupe
05 Apr
Cariari Pococi
0 : 1 FC Moravia
26 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2 Pitbulls
Page 1 of 3
Carmelita
(Away) 26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0 Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0 CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2 Pitbulls
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2 Aserri
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1 Carmelita
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
21 Mar
CS Uruguay
3 : 0 Carmelita
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Quepos FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 5 | Grecia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:23 | 17 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
| 8 | Dep. Upala | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15:31 | 5 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escorpiones | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 2 | CS Uruguay | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Moravia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 6 | Aserri | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:28 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Ana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 12 |
| 8 | Carmelita | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
