Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Posada M.
46' Event
French R.
50' Event
Solera A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Cariari Pococi in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cariari Pococi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cariari Pococi
44%
Draws
20%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cariari Pococi have won more games recently than Carmelita.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 20%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi Carmelita
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer French R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Carmelita Compare

Top Goalscorer Posada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 36 / 100
Carmelita 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Carmelita conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Cariari Pococi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cariari Pococi VS Carmelita
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariari Pococi

(Home)
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
05 Apr
Cariari Pococi
0 : 1
Consultants Desamparados
29 Mar
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
26 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

Carmelita

(Away)
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
25 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 1
Consultants Desamparados
21 Mar
CS Uruguay
3 : 0
Carmelita
16 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 0
Pitbulls
12 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos FC1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4FC Moravia1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)