Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cariari Pococi vs Cofutpa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Paniagua D.
78' Event
Morera A.
88' Event
Ocoro E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Cofutpa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cariari Pococi
35%
Draws
6%
Cofutpa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cofutpa haven't matched Cariari Pococi's recent run of results.
  • Cariari Pococi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cariari Pococi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cofutpa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cofutpa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 20%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi Cofutpa
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Cofutpa
1:2
Dec 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Cariari Pococi
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Cariari Pococi
2:1
Feb 6, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Cofutpa
0:2
Nov 11, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Cofutpa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Paniagua D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cofutpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Morera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocoro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 85 / 100
Cofutpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi Cofutpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariari Pococi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cariari Pococi scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Cofutpa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Cariari Pococi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cariari Pococi VS Cofutpa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariari Pococi

(Home)
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Cofutpa

(Away)
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
17 Aug
Cofutpa
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
09 Aug
Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Cofutpa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter San Carlos 5
Carmelita 3
FC Moravia 1
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 1
Cariari Pococi 2
Escorpiones 2
Cofutpa 3
Semi-finals
Inter San Carlos 6
Quepos FC 0
Cariari Pococi 1
Cofutpa 3
Final
Inter San Carlos 5
Cofutpa 2