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Carina Gubin vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carina Gubin play Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory in the III Liga - Group III 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Carina Gubin averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Carina Gubin won 1, Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 8, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Carina Gubin and 1.38 for Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory. This points to a Carina Gubin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Carina Gubin
32%
Draws
25%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Carina Gubin picked up more points recently compared to Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 17%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
3:1
Nov 18, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Carina Gubin
3:1
Apr 16, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Carina Gubin
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1:1
Jun 11, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Carina Gubin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matuszewski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakowiecki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 42 / 100
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Carina Gubin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carina Gubin attacking → ← attacking Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carina Gubin scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Carina Gubin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 25
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rekord Bielsko-Biala34236584:3775
2Slask Wroclaw II342110376:3273
3Kluczbork34179855:3860
4Polkowice341681056:4956
5Pniowek Pawlowice341413759:5155
6Goczalkowice Zdroj3412111150:3847
7Gornik Zabrze II341451554:5447
8Sleza Wroclaw341291360:6245
9Stilon Gorzow341291351:4945
10Zielona Gora341271547:5743
11Carina Gubin341261648:5542
12Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341181541:5341
13Bytom Odrzanski349141139:4241
14Unia Turza Slaska341181550:5641
15Warta Gorzow349121342:5839
16Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory34891744:5833
17RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34881843:6632
18Starowice Dolne34582136:8023