Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carina Gubin vs Polkowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Zynek B.
74' Event
Bednarczyk P.
83' Event
Rymaniak B.

AI Match Summary

Polkowice in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polkowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Carina Gubin
6%
Draws
4%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polkowice have won more games recently than Carina Gubin.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Carina Gubin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Polkowice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 14%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Polkowice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polkowice
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bednarczyk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Zynek B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rymaniak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 84 / 100
Polkowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Polkowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carina Gubin's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Polkowice conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Carina Gubin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS Polkowice
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
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Polkowice

(Away)
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4
Polkowice
11 Jul
Polkowice
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
08 Jul
Polkowice
0 : 1
Warta Gorzow
04 Jul
Polkowice
1 : 3
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
09 Jun
Kleczew
4 : 1
Polkowice
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)