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Cariri FC vs Icasa

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dentinho
53' Event
Araujo V.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Hugo Freitas

AI Match Summary

Icasa in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Icasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cariri FC
30%
Draws
47%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Icasa lately — more wins on the board than Cariri FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 19%
Icasa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Icasa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 15, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dentinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo Freitas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 32 / 100
Icasa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Icasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Icasa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Cariri FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Icasa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariri FC

(Home)
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
25 Apr
Icasa
0 : 1
Cariri FC
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Icasa

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)