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Cariri FC vs Icasa

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC play Icasa in the Cearense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cariri FC averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Icasa averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Cariri FC won 2, Icasa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Cariri FC and 1.25 for Icasa. This points to a Icasa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cariri FC
39%
Draws
30%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Icasa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cariri FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 19%
Icasa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Icasa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 15, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dentinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo Freitas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 32 / 100
Icasa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Icasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Icasa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Icasa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Icasa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124