Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2025/2026 Brunton Park, Carlisle

Carlisle

5 - 2

Boston United

Our Tip

Match Events

Ajiboye D.

15'

Grant J.

16'

Armstrong L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Carlisle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Carlisle

30%

Draws

29%

Boston United

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Carlisle carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Carlisle a 41% chance of winning this.
Carlisle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Carlisle, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Carlisle have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Carlisle Clean Sheet 16%

Boston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carlisle	Boston United
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	9
Draws	7	7
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	2	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League

Carlisle vs Boston United

6:2

Nov 22, 2025 National League

Boston United vs Carlisle

1:2

Oct 11, 2025 FA Cup

Carlisle vs Boston United

5:2

Mar 25, 2006 League Two

Carlisle vs Boston United

4:2

Jan 18, 2006 League Two

Boston United vs Carlisle

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Conn-Clarke C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ajiboye D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Boston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader John-Lewis L. N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 66 / 100

Boston United 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carlisle Boston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlisle Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlisle scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Boston United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Boston United

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)

03 Oct

Aldershot

1 : 3

Carlisle

29 Sept

AFC Fylde

0 : 2

Carlisle

26 Sept

Carlisle

2 : 5

Woking

19 Sept

Eastleigh

1 : 0

Carlisle

15 Sept

Carlisle

1 : 1

Forest Green

Page 1 of 6

Boston United

(Away)

03 Oct

Yeovil

6 : 0

Boston United

29 Sept

Halifax

1 : 1

Boston United

26 Sept

Boston United

0 : 1

AFC Fylde

19 Sept

Forest Green

1 : 3

Boston United

15 Sept

Boston United

1 : 1

Woking

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Warrington Town 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Silsden 2

Bootle 4

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Telford -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Kidsgrove Athletic 1

Racing Club Warwick 2

Evesham 5

Bromsgrove 2

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Atherton Rovers 5

Atherton Collieries 2

Avro 1

Nantwich 3

Trafford 2

Stockton 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 5

Abbey Hulton 4

Hanley Town 0

Stourbridge 2

Bourne 1

Shepshed 2

Stamford 1

Coventry Sphinx 0

Kendal 0

Dunston 1

Wombwell Town 1

Stocksbridge 3

Corby 1

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 5

Atherstone 1

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Pickering Town 5

Redcar Athletic 2

West Didsbury & Chorlton 0

Runcorn Linnets 2

Hallam 2

Ashton United 4

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Newcastle Blue Star 1

Heaton Stannington 0

TBD -

Marine -

Buxton -

TBD -

Redditch 5

Skegness Town 0

Morecambe -

TBD -

Workington 2

Stalybridge 3

TBD -

Chester -

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Hebburn Town 1

Longridge Town 0

South Shields -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands 1

Guiseley 4

Widnes FC -

FC Congleton Town -

TBD -

Chorley -

Ilkeston 1

Spalding United 2

TBD -

Alfreton -

Bedford -

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 3

Prescot Cables 2

Lancaster 1

Whitby 2

Matlock 4

Bottesford Town 1

Carlton Town 3

Cleethorpes 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Redbridge 1

Royston Town 2

Brentwood 2

Leighton Town 1

Chesham -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Eastwood Community FC 1

Grimsby Borough 2

Halesowen 4

Stratford 1

Sudbury 4

Mildenhall 0

Aveley 3

Hashtag 0

TBD -

Gateshead -

West Auckland Town 3

Wythenshawe FC 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Rossington Main 0

United of Manchester 4

Bishop Auckland 1

Chadderton 3

Coleshill Town 2

Worcester Raiders 1

Hednesford 3

Basford Utd. 1

Billericay 4

Barton 1

Berkhamsted Town 2

St Ives Town 0

Morpeth 2

Pontefract Collieries 1

Witton Albion 6

Shildon 3

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Southport -

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 3

Leek Town 0

TBD -

Worksop -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 5

TBD -

Bath City -

Burnham FC 0

Jersey Bulls 3

TBD -

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Forest Green -

FC Haverhill Rovers 0

Waltham Abbey 3

March Town 1

Gorleston 3

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Canvey Island 0

Stanway Rovers 2

Cockfosters 1

Soul Tower Hamlets 4

Ascot United 1

Flackwell Heath 2

Lewes 1

Bracknell Town 4

Dartford 2

Tadley Calleva 4

Weymouth 2

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Whitstable Town 3

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Chichester City 1

Hungerford 3

AFC Stoneham 0

Tavistock 1

Swindon Supermarine 4

Cray Wanderers 2

Hanwell Town 3

Bedfont Sports 4

Littlehampton 3

Uxbridge 1

Welling 2

TBD -

Slough Town -

Enfield FC 3

Ilford 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Quorn 8

Sherwood Colliery 0

Long Eaton 1

Kettering 4

Winchester City 0

Fareham 1

Fairford 0

Sholing 2

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Epsom 2

Risborough Rangers 1

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Royal Wootton 1

Torpoint 3

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 1

Croydon Athletic 2

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Sheppey United 0

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Folkestone 3

Sevenoaks 0

TBD -

Maidstone -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Ashford Town 3

Whyteleafe 2

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Faversham 5

Hastings 2

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 5

Yate 4

TBD -

Oxford City -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Chertsey Town 2

Thame United 1

Ramsgate 1

Cray Valley 2

Steyning Town 5

Lancing 0

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Raynes Park Vale 0

Ashford United 2

Chatham 4

Marlow 0

Deal Town 2

Cobham 0

Beckenham Town 2

Egham Town 3

Gosport Borough 2

Basingstoke 1

Didcot 2

Poole Town 3

Tiverton 3

Taunton Town 4

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Needham Market 4

Tilbury 2

Eynesbury Rovers 3

Arlesey 1

Histon 2

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

FC Witham Town 3

Lowestoft 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Real Bedford 1

Stortford 2

Boston Town 1

Sporting Khalsa 3

TBD -

Hereford -

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cheshunt 1

Leiston 2

Knaphill 1

Hackney Wick 2

Worcester 3

Chasetown 4

Mangotsfield 0

Banbury 1

Brightlingsea 2

Bury Town 3

Newmarket 2

Woodford Town 3

Potters 2

Hitchin 4

Aylesbury Vale 1

St. Albans 3

Alvechurch 4

Barwell 2

TBD -

Leamington -

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea 1

Hertford Town 2

Hayes & Yeading 3

Whitehawk 4

Three Bridges 0

Walton & Hersham 2

Gloucester City 3

Portchester 1

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Torquay -

Shaftesbury Town 3

Exmouth Town 1

Plymouth Parkway 0

Frome Town 4

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury -

TBD -

Hythe & Dibden 1

Laverstock & Ford 2

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Carshalton 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Aldershot -

Wokingham Town FC 1

Burgess Hill 5

Erith Town 0

Farnham 3

Falmouth Town 0

Brixham 5

Slimbridge 0

Dorchester 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Quarter-finals

AFC Fylde 4

Bamber Bridge 1

Bootle 1

Darlington FC 3

Telford 3

Kidderminster 1

Racing Club Warwick 3

Evesham 4

Macclesfield 3

Atherton Rovers 0

Nantwich 3

Trafford 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Stourbridge 1

Shepshed 0

Stamford 2

Dunston 1

Stocksbridge 0

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 1

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Pickering Town 0

Runcorn Linnets 2

Ashton United 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

Newcastle Blue Star 0

Marine 2

Buxton 3

Redditch 0

Morecambe -

TBD -

Stalybridge 1

Chester 2

Curzon Ashton 4

Hebburn Town 1

South Shields 2

Guiseley 1

FC Congleton Town 0

Chorley 1

Spalding United 3

Alfreton 0

Bedford 1

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 2

Whitby 0

Matlock 3

Carlton Town 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

Brentwood 0

Chesham 1

King’s Lynn 4

Grimsby Borough 2

Halesowen 7

Sudbury 1

Aveley 2

TBD -

Gateshead -

West Auckland Town 0

Spennymoor 1

United of Manchester 0

Chadderton 1

Coleshill Town 0

Hednesford 7

Billericay 3

Berkhamsted Town 0

Morpeth 2

Witton Albion 1

Radcliffe 3

Southport 4

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 3

Worksop 2

Peterborough Sports 2

Hornchurch 1

Wimborne 2

Bath City 1

Jersey Bulls 2

Worthing FC 7

TBD -

Forest Green -

Waltham Abbey 2

Gorleston 0

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Stanway Rovers 0

Soul Tower Hamlets 0

Flackwell Heath 2

Bracknell Town 2

Tadley Calleva 0

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 2

Chichester City 1

Hungerford 3

Swindon Supermarine 0

Hanwell Town 0

Bedfont Sports 1

Welling 1

Slough Town 2

Enfield FC 0

Enfield Town 3

Quorn 2

Kettering 1

Fareham 0

Sholing 3

Eastbourne Borough 4

Epsom 0

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town 4

Torpoint 0

Hampton & Richmond 4

Croydon Athletic 2

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Horsham FC 8

Folkestone 2

Maidstone 0

Ebbsfleet 5

Ashford Town 0

Maidenhead 0

Faversham 1

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 3

Oxford City 2

Farnborough 4

Dover Ath. 1

Chertsey Town 2

Cray Valley 3

Steyning Town 3

Tonbridge 8

Ashford United 0

Chatham 3

Deal Town 2

Egham Town 1

Gosport Borough 0

Poole Town 3

Taunton Town 1

Weston-super-Mare 4

Needham Market 4

Eynesbury Rovers 2

Mulbarton Wanderers 0

FC Witham Town 2

Hemel Hempstead 4

Stortford 1

Sporting Khalsa 2

Hereford 3

TBD -

Yeovil -

Leiston 4

Hackney Wick 1

Chasetown 1

Banbury 2

Bury Town 1

Woodford Town 2

Hitchin 1

St. Albans 2

Alvechurch 3

Leamington 0

Chelmsford 6

Hertford Town 0

Whitehawk 0

Walton & Hersham 2

Gloucester City 1

Chippenham Town 2

AFC Totton 2

Torquay 0

Shaftesbury Town 2

Frome Town 3

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury 4

Laverstock & Ford 1

Dorking Wanderers 7

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Aldershot -

Burgess Hill 1

Farnham 3

Brixham 1

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Sutton -

Semi-finals

AFC Fylde 3

Darlington FC 5

Telford 4

Evesham 1

Macclesfield 2

Nantwich 0

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Stamford 1

Dunston 1

Gainsborough 2

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Runcorn Linnets 3

Ashton United 2

Marine 2

Buxton 3

Morecambe -

TBD -

Chester 5

Curzon Ashton 1

South Shields 4

Chorley 1

Spalding United 2

Dagenham & Red. 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 1

Matlock 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

King’s Lynn 5

Halesowen 0

Aveley 1

TBD -

Gateshead -

Spennymoor 3

Chadderton 0

Hednesford 0

Billericay 2

Morpeth 1

Southport 3

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 4

Peterborough Sports 1

Wimborne 0

Worthing FC 3

TBD -

Forest Green -

Waltham Abbey 2

Maldon & Tiptree 4

Flackwell Heath 4

Bracknell Town 1

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 2

Hungerford 0

Bedfont Sports 1

Slough Town 2

Enfield Town 5

Quorn 1

Sholing 1

Eastbourne Borough 2

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town 0

Hampton & Richmond 1

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Horsham FC 2

Folkestone 3

Ebbsfleet 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 0

Farnborough 1

Cray Valley 0

Tonbridge 5

Chatham 3

Deal Town 1

Poole Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Needham Market 2

FC Witham Town 1

Hemel Hempstead 5

Hereford 2

TBD -

Yeovil -

Leiston 0

Banbury 3

Woodford Town 0

St. Albans 1

Alvechurch 1

Chelmsford 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Chippenham Town 2

AFC Totton 4

Frome Town 2

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury 3

Dorking Wanderers 5

TBD -

Aldershot -

Farnham 3

Dorchester 0

TBD -

Sutton -

Final

Darlington FC 0

Telford 6

Macclesfield 1

Stamford 0

Gainsborough 4

Hartlepool 2

Carlisle 5

Boston United 2

Rochdale 1

York City 2

Runcorn Linnets 0

Buxton 1

Morecambe 1

Chester 3

South Shields 4

Spalding United 0

Tamworth 1

Hyde 0

Scunthorpe 4

King’s Lynn 2

Aveley 0

Gateshead 3

Spennymoor 1

Billericay 0

Southport 1

Halifax 3

Altrincham 5

Harborough 2

Worthing FC 1

Forest Green 4

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Flackwell Heath 0

Woking 3

Brackley 7

Wealdstone 5

Whitstable Town 1

Slough Town 3

Enfield Town 2

Eastbourne Borough 0

Boreham Wood 3

Hampton & Richmond 0

Eastleigh 2

Southend 4

Folkestone 1

Ebbsfleet 2

Solihull Moors 0

Braintree 2

Farnborough 0

Tonbridge 1

Chatham 3

Weston-super-Mare 1

Needham Market 0

Hemel Hempstead 2

Yeovil 1

Banbury 1

St. Albans 2

Chelmsford 4

Chippenham Town 3

AFC Totton 3

Truro 2

Dorking Wanderers 2

Aldershot 3

Farnham 5

Sutton 6

Carlisle vs Boston United

England

Carlisle

Boston United

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Carlisle Compare

Boston United Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

Boston United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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