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Carlos Mannucci vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carlos Mannucci in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carlos Mannucci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Carlos Mannucci
20%
Draws
17%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Defensor San Alejandro haven't matched Carlos Mannucci's recent run of results.
  • Carlos Mannucci are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 20%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Mannucci Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2014 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:0
May 25, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Carlos Mannucci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Mannucci 85 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Mannucci Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Mannucci went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Carlos Mannucci's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Defensor San Alejandro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Defensor San Alejandro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Mannucci VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Mannucci

(Home)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 9

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)