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Carlos Renaux vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2 2025 Estádio Augusto Bauer
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Hebert
45' Event
Patrick Carvalho
53' Event
de Deus C. d. A.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 2025 game between Carlos Renaux and CA Metropolitano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlos Renaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Carlos Renaux
40%
Draws
29%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Metropolitano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 68%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Renaux CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Catarinense 2
Carlos Renaux vs CA Metropolitano
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Carlos Renaux
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Catarinense 2
Carlos Renaux vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jul 12, 2024 Catarinense 2
Carlos Renaux vs CA Metropolitano
3:1
Jun 18, 2023 Catarinense 2
Carlos Renaux vs CA Metropolitano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Renaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebert
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Deus C. d. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Carvalho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Renaux 42 / 100
CA Metropolitano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Renaux CA Metropolitano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Renaux scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Carlos Renaux remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CA Metropolitano has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Renaux VS CA Metropolitano
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blumenau-
TBD-
Gremio Juventus2
Camboriu3
Carlos Renaux-
TBD-
CA Metropolitano2
Tubarao0
Semi-finals
Blumenau1
Camboriu3
Carlos Renaux3
CA Metropolitano2
Final
Camboriu1
Carlos Renaux3