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Carlos Renaux vs Concordia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
William
46'
Sub
Gabriel Mello In: Salas De La Hoz A. D. J.
Out: Gabriel Mello
46'
Sub
Jefferson In: Thiago Tinoco
Out: Jefferson

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Carlos Renaux and Concordia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Carlos Renaux
30%
Draws
12%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlos Renaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia haven't matched Carlos Renaux's recent run of results.
  • Carlos Renaux are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Renaux Concordia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 Catarinense
Carlos Renaux vs Concordia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Renaux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer William
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Renaux 95 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Renaux Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Renaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Renaux found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Concordia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Carlos Renaux has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Concordia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Renaux VS Concordia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Renaux

(Home)
06 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 4
Carlos Renaux
26 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Joinville
14 Feb
Joinville
3 : 0
Carlos Renaux
09 Feb
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Carlos Renaux
Page 1 of 6

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)