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Carlos Stein vs Llacuabamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mena E.
17' Event
Tunqui J.
18' Event
Aponza S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024 game between Carlos Stein and Llacuabamba finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llacuabamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Carlos Stein
30%
Draws
70%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Llacuabamba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Llacuabamba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Llacuabamba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 18%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Stein Llacuabamba
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 5 22
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.16 2.05
Goals Conceded 3.19 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Llacuabamba
1:8
May 31, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Carlos Stein
6:0
Sep 19, 2023 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Llacuabamba
0:5
Jun 28, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Carlos Stein
4:3
Oct 5, 2021 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Llacuabamba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Stein Compare

Top Goalscorer Valoyes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tunqui J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Stein 10 / 100
Llacuabamba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Stein Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Carlos Stein found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Llacuabamba conceded in 44% of 39 recent games.

Llacuabamba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llacuabamba
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Stein

(Home)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
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Llacuabamba

(Away)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)