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Carlos Stein vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Centurion L.
20' Event
Flores C.
22' Event
Davila A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024 game between Carlos Stein and Moquegua finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moquegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Carlos Stein
15%
Draws
85%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moquegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Carlos Stein haven't matched Moquegua's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 20%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Stein Moquegua
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.15
Goals Conceded 3.19 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2024 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Carlos Stein
6:1
Aug 22, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Moquegua
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Stein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davila A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Stein 32 / 100
Moquegua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Stein Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moquegua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Away concern: Moquegua has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Carlos Stein's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Moquegua has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moquegua
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Stein

(Home)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
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Moquegua

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
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