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Carlos Stein vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Carlos Stein Logo

Carlos Stein

1 - 2
FT
San Marcos Logo

San Marcos

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Chirinos A.
46'
Sub
Mesias Silva P. C. In: Cieza C.
Out: Mesias Silva P. C.
46'
Sub
Velarde M. In: Vasquez Y.
Out: Velarde M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marcos in this Liga 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Carlos Stein
15%
Draws
85%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Marcos lately — more wins on the board than Carlos Stein.
  • Carlos Stein are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Stein San Marcos
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 1.16 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.19 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs San Marcos
1:2
Apr 29, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Carlos Stein
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Stein Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirinos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Stein 42 / 100
San Marcos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Stein San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: San Marcos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Carlos Stein scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: San Marcos conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Marcos
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Stein

(Home)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
Page 1 of 7

San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)