Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlstad vs Akropolis

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Maripuu N.
41'
Jernberg A.
41' Event
Rajamohan A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra 2019 game between Carlstad and Akropolis finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akropolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Carlstad
22%
Draws
22%
Akropolis
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Carlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carlstad come out ahead of Akropolis on wins alone.
  • Carlstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Carlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Akropolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlstad Akropolis
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.47 7.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Akropolis
0:3
Apr 13, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Akropolis vs Carlstad
2:2
Sep 2, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Akropolis vs Carlstad
2:2
May 13, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Akropolis
2:4
Sep 30, 2017 Division 1 - Norra
Akropolis vs Carlstad
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlstad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Akropolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Maripuu N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soderstrom V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlstad 85 / 100
Akropolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlstad Akropolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlstad's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Carlstad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Akropolis has conceded goals in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Akropolis
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlstad

(Home)
02 Nov
Karlslund
1 : 4
Carlstad
27 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Oct
Sylvia
2 : 2
Carlstad
13 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Umea FC
06 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 2
Carlstad
Page 1 of 6

Akropolis

(Away)
09 Apr
Hudiksvall
3 : 0
Akropolis
02 Apr
Akropolis
0 : 28
IFK Stocksund
05 Dec
Akropolis
0 : 0
Skovde
22 Sept
Carlstad
0 : 3
Akropolis

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akropolis 30 23 6 1 77:28 75
2 Umea FC 30 17 5 8 52:35 56
3 Linkoping City 30 15 8 7 61:31 53
4 Carlstad 30 15 8 7 56:43 53
5 Karlstad 30 15 6 9 53:35 51
6 Vasalund 30 12 10 8 64:49 46
7 Sandviken 30 12 7 11 52:47 43
8 Nykopings 30 10 8 12 45:54 38
9 Sylvia 30 11 5 14 48:65 38
10 Karlslund 30 8 11 11 45:55 35
11 Gefle 30 10 4 16 33:48 34
12 Umea FF 30 9 7 14 38:55 34
13 Sollentuna 30 8 9 13 37:42 33
14 Boden 30 8 7 15 42:60 31
15 Rynninge 30 7 4 19 46:78 25
16 Forward 30 5 5 20 36:60 20
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra 2019 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superettan 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Superettan 2019 (Relegation)