Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2012/2013

Rainworth

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Carlton Town play Rainworth in the FA Cup 2012/2013. Carlton Town are favorites here. Recently, Carlton Town averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Rainworth averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Carlton Town won 1, Rainworth won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 12, 2012 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Carlton Town and 1.06 for Rainworth. This points to a Carlton Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Carlton Town

15%

Draws

25%

Rainworth

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlton Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Carlton Town picked up more points recently compared to Rainworth.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Carlton Town Clean Sheet 22%

Rainworth Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carlton Town	Rainworth
Matches Played	32	11
Wins	14	2
Draws	3	2
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.63	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2012 FA Cup

Carlton Town vs Rainworth

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup

Rainworth vs Carlton Town

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiggins-Thomas R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Brown I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Rainworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlton Town 58 / 100

Rainworth 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carlton Town Rainworth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlton Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Carlton Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carlton Town attacking → ← attacking Rainworth

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlton Town scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Rainworth let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Carlton Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rainworth lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 8

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00