Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Carmarthen Town and Caerau Ely finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Caerau Ely Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Carmarthen Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Caerau Ely's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
