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Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
17' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

Carmarthen Town in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Carmarthen Town
6%
Draws
90%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Trefelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trefelin have won more games recently than Carmarthen Town.
  • Win probability leans Trefelin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Trefelin
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 24
Draws 12 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 3 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
4:2
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
0:2
Nov 14, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 10 / 100
Trefelin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Trefelin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Trefelin has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Carmarthen Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Trefelin
3 Goals Scored 3.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%