Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
17' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

Carmarthen Town in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Carmarthen Town
35%
Draws
19%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Trefelin have won more games recently than Carmarthen Town.
  • Win probability leans Carmarthen Town's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 20%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Trefelin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
4:2
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
0:2
Nov 14, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 67 / 100
Trefelin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Trefelin let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Carmarthen Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Trefelin
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmarthen Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1
Afan Lido
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Trefelin

(Away)
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
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